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The Stagnation Trap: Why "Zero Debt" is a Dangerous Strategy

The Stagnation Trap: Why "Zero Debt" is a Dangerous Strategy

The Stagnation Trap: Why "Zero Debt" is a Dangerous Strategy

July 27, 2025

ByFounder & Managing Partner

For companies in the €15M-€30M range, avoiding debt is not a safety net—it is a competitive disadvantage. Why inflation and consolidation are punishing debt-free firms.

The 30-Second Takeaway

For established family businesses, the primary risk is no longer "owing money"—it is shrinking relevance.

In a market with high inflation and aggressive consolidation, a "zero-debt" strategy guarantees you will lose market share. While you save cash to buy machinery in three years, your competitors borrow to buy it today—cheaper and faster.

The goal isn't to load up on risk; it is to build a Capital Architecture that separates business risk from family wealth.

The Cost of Being "Debt-Free"

Family businesses that survived the long financial crisis often have a permanent scar: they equate Debt with Disaster. While understandable, this mindset is now a strategic trap.

In the €15M–€30M turnover zone, relying only on Organic Growth (reinvesting your own profits) creates a mathematical problem you cannot solve.

The Problem: The Speed Gap

A competitor who borrows to automate production today lowers their unit costs immediately. A company saving up cash to invest in three years will be forced to buy that same equipment at a higher price (due to inflation), while having lost three years of efficiency gains.

0%
lag in 5-year growth for capital-intensive firms avoiding leverage compared to their borrowing peers

The Pain of Inaction: Losing the Race

The decision to avoid debt is often presented to the Board as "conservative" and "safe." In reality, it is an active decision to let inflation eat your capital and accept a lower Return on Equity (ROE).

When equipment prices rise faster than your net profit margins, your corporate reserves lose purchasing power every month. Borrowing acts as a hedge: it locks in the cost of the asset at today's prices, allowing you to repay with future, inflated revenue.

The Opportunity Gap
Comparative Analysis: Organic vs. Leveraged Growth Over 4 Years
Source: Market Simulation Model

Chart Reality: This isn't just a graph of "potential." It is a graph of survival. The gap between the two lines is where you lose your best clients to competitors who have better capacity and lower costs.

Breaking the Mental Barriers

To survive the next phase, the Board must stop acting like a "Custodian" (guarding the vault) and start acting like an "Allocator" (deploying fuel). The fears dominating family meetings are often remnants of outdated practices rather than reflections of modern financial reality.

  1. The Liquidity Myth

    Cash is King?

    Asset is King.

    In an inflationary environment, cash is a passive asset that loses value.

    The smart move is to convert that cash (and cheap debt) into productive assets that generate higher returns.

  2. The Autonomy Myth

    Equity is 'Free'?

    Incorrect.

    Using your own money is the most expensive way to fund growth, due to its high Opportunity Cost.

    Utilizing cheap debt (where the return you get from investing it -ROIC > Interest Rate) drastically increases the Return on Equity (ROE) for shareholders.

  3. The Control Myth

    Banks 'Run the Company'?

    Stagnation is the Enemy.

    Banks are disciplined partners.

    You don't lose control because you borrowed money; you lose control because you didn't have a plan to pay it back.

Capital Architecture: The Right Tool for the Job

Stop using your overdraft (sight account) to pay for long-term investments. It is expensive and dangerous. The modern CFO constructs a Capital Architecture to minimize the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) and maximize tax efficiency for the company, using specific tools for specific needs.

InstrumentUse CaseThe Benefit
Bond Loan (Common)Buying Machinery, AcquisitionsTax-deductible interest & exemption from the 0.6% levy. The standard tool for serious growth.
Recovery Fund (RRF)Digital & Green ProjectsLocks in historically low fixed rates (e.g., 1%). In real terms, this is effectively "free money" relative to inflation.
Sale & Lease BackUnlocking Dead CapitalGets cash out of your real estate without losing usage. Converts "dead" walls into growth fuel.

Factoring: It's Not for "Desperate" Companies

Many family firms refuse to use Factoring because they think it signals distress.

This is a costly mistake.

Factoring isn't just about borrowing money; it is about outsourcing risk.

In a market where bad debts can derail profitability, the ability to transfer risk is a strategic shield.

Protecting the Family: Ring-Fencing

The biggest barrier to borrowing is fear: "I don't want to put the family house at risk."

The solution is Ring-Fencing. Do not borrow through the Holding company that owns the real estate. Place the investment and the debt in a separate corporate vehicle (SPV).

Ring-Fencing Assets: Protecting Family Wealth from Business Risk

The greatest barrier to adopting an aggressive leverage strategy is often internal. A perception gap exists between the Founder (focused on wealth preservation) and the Successor (focused on expansion).

Thus, risk is isolated—satisfying the Founder's need for security—while growth is funded, satisfying the Successor's ambition.

Simultaneously, the relationship with banks must be treated as corporate governance via Covenants.

The Hard Truth

The market is moving toward violent consolidation. Players in the €20 million range face a binary choice: leverage the balance sheet to acquire and scale, or become acquisition targets themselves.

Debt is not a sign of weakness—it is the fuel of scale. Keeping a "clean" balance sheet in a world running on leverage is simply choosing to slowly disappear.

Capital StrategyFamily BusinessRisk ManagementGrowth

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Konstantinos Kormentzas

Founder & Managing Partner

Former C-level banker turned entrepreneur who serves as a strategic ally, bridging the gap between complex data, technology, and the practical realities of business leadership.

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