Planning & Growth

Growth That Costs More Than It Brings

Growing sales on a broken foundation multiplies your problems. If your unit economics are broken, growth just accelerates the end.

Konstantinos Kormentzas
Growth That Costs More Than It Brings

Revenue is a vanity metric

The obsession with "getting bigger" hides the truth: revenue tells you how big you are, not whether you are profitable. In the Greek market we celebrate revenue growth as the absolute proof of success. We hire salespeople, discount to "get into the stores", open new branches — assuming profitability will come by itself once revenue rises.

This is one of the most dangerous assumptions in business. If the margin per unit is not positive, the whole business will hardly be profitable. The reality is that growth exposes flaws — it does not fix them.

Unit economics: the profit per sale

Unit economics are how we measure profit and cost per single unit: per customer, per product, per order. They show whether each "unit" brings real profit or loss.

As volume grows, unit economics do not stay constant. They can improve: fixed costs spread over more units, and larger quantities bring better discounts. But they can also worsen: the cost of acquiring new customers rises when the "easy" ones run out, and you get squeezed into discounts to close deals.

74%
of growing businesses fail due to premature scaling (Source: Startup Genome, 2019)

If the fundamental unit economics are broken, scaling does not solve the problem — it multiplies it. When you accelerate an engine that loses money on every unit sold, you do not reach break-even. You reach cash asphyxiation.

How do you know you are in the trap?

From what happens to your margins as you grow. In a healthy business, as revenue grows, margins widen because of economies of scale — the bigger the volume, the lower the cost per unit. In the vanity trap the opposite happens: revenue climbs, the till disappears.

The growth snare

RevenueLiquidity

Revenue and liquidity in a business with broken unit economics (illustrative model)

Source: ONISIS analysis, 2025

Customer acquisition cost (CAC) rises as you exhaust the easy customers and pay more for marketing. Customer lifetime value (LTV) falls because you are forced into discounts or credit to close deals. You end up with a business technically "bigger" in revenue, but structurally weaker in cash.

The 3:1 rule that counts

Revenue says how big you are. This ratio says whether you will survive: for every €1 you spend to win a customer — marketing, salespeople, discounts — you must generate €3 in gross margin.

  • Ratio 1:1. You lose money. You are effectively "buying" your revenue — paying the market to take your product.
  • Ratio 3:1. You have a viable engine. That is the green light for scaling.
  • Ratio 5:1. You are very conservative. You can invest more aggressively to win market share.

If you are below 3:1, stop the expansion. Fix pricing first, or cut production and operating costs.

What to measure instead of revenue

The problem often lies in what we measure. Most monthly reports are full of vanity metrics — numbers that make us feel good but offer no guidance. Revenue is a metric of the past: it tells you what happened, not what is coming.

Vanity metricSanity metric
What it measuresRevenue: hides the cost of creating the saleCAC payback period: how many months until acquisition cost is recovered
What it showsYou can buy revenue with advertising — you cannot buy profitIf it is over 12 months, your cash flow is at risk
The signalSays nothing about viabilityMeasures the speed of return on your capital

The third danger signal is the contribution margin — the revenue left after variable costs are paid. Many people confuse gross profit with contribution margin. If variable costs — shipping, commissions, materials — eat the profit, scaling is mathematically impossible.

When is growth actually healthy?

When unit economics are positive before volume. Growth in business profitability depends on the margin per unit, not on size. If every sale profits, volume is a lever. If every sale loses, volume is an accelerator toward the wall.

The difference is practical: growth with positive unit economics is the goal — not growth for growth's sake.

Measure the margin per sale

Stop obsessing over total revenue. Start obsessing over unit economics: what is the margin per product, per customer, per order? Which products win and which lose?

Profitability analysis starts there: a reading of your margin per unit, not your revenue in total. Your next report should carry margin per sale on its first page — before revenue.